Asia facing a major rice shortage
However you dice the numbers, growing enough rice to feed Asia’s burgeoning population presents an enormous challenge.
Rice provides 20-70 per cent of Asia’s calories. The region grows 90pc of the world’s 448 million tonnes of rice, and its 3.8 billion people in turns eats 90pc.
Until 2008, a shifting balance existed that allowed most of Asia’s billions to have adequate rice, even the poor.
But when rice prices shot up during the 2008 food crisis to historical highs, from which they still haven’t come down, many of Asia’s poor strained to afford their traditional staple.
Food riots broke out, and the unease of governments in countries long preoccupied with food security deepened as their vulnerability to economic forces outside the region was exposed.
Trends all point to that vulnerability growing.
Across most of Asia, populations are climbing. The region contributes the lion’s share of the 220,000 people now added to the world each day.
Farm land is being urbanised: somewhere between 2020-30, Asia’s populations will become...